Japanese Candlesticks are a type of price chart that shows the Open, High, Low and Close (OHLC) prices for a security during a specific time-period.
In-and-of-themselves, they show just that, OHLC for a security. However, when adjacent candlesticks are combined together into a single pattern, then market participants can detect trading patterns to help them better time market entry and exit, for example correctly judging when a market is reversing.
This blog post is in 3 parts
Supporting material containing flask app, jupyter notebooks and sample data files for this post can be found here
A candle stick pattern is a method of reading a price chart. They are a visual aid to showing the OHLC of an arbitrary security during a trading session. The duration of a session is also arbitrary, for example it could be an hour, a day, a week, a month etc.
Japanese Candlestick patters were popularised in the west in the 1990s and are amongst the most common techniques used by traders and financial professionals as part of an activity often referred to as technical analysis. They are used by analysts to help identify trading opportunities and better judge how to position themselves in markets.
In the above case, the left candle stick is showing a weak form of price rejection, there was some selling but ultimately the buyers were in control of the price, pushing it higher.
The right candle is more interesting, here, the size of the wick relative to the body is large. During this trading session the price would have risen to its high and then dramatically dropped to finally close not much higher than it opened. In this scenario, a lot of selling would have driven the price down from its intraday high.
Some variations of candle stick patterns
For the candle sticks above, they are all bullish (prices rose during the session)
A bearish version of the previous patterns.
Combining Candle Stick Patterns
Consecutive candlesticks are often combined and used to gain more insight into market behaviour.
For example, in the combination above,
By combining these 2 candlesticks into a single chart, we can see the overall behaviour of the market during both sessions combined. A trader might reasonably infer that the market had a bullish behaviour, the market rejected lower prices and prices rose.
2 Common Candle Stick Patterns
Morning Star & Evening Star
This final pattern spans three trading sessions
Morning stars are bullish reversal patterns, evening stars are bearish reversal patterns
TA-Lib https://mrjbq7.github.io/ta-lib/ is an open source python library that can be used in the analysis of stock market data and is used to calculate many commonly used performance indicators. Some of these indicators are the results of simple time series calculations such as moving average, momentum, RSI and the like. However, some of the functionality in TA-Lib finds bullish and bearish candle stick patterns.
The full list of candlestick patterns that TA-Lib can identify are here https://mrjbq7.github.io/ta-lib/func_groups/pattern_recognition.html
This post will demonstrate 2 patterns, the Morning Star and the Engulfing pattern.
Standard pip install – tho check the TA-Lib repo for more advanced options how to build and install.
$ pip install TA-Lib
import talib import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd
Down load Some data.
The pattern detection component of TA-Lib needs time series data with Open, High, Low and Close columns. This ticker ^GSPC is yahoos symbol for the SP500 index
start_ = "2020-01-01" end_ = "2020-08-01" df = yf.download(tickers="^GSPC", start=start_, end=end_)
A plot of the closing prices for this timeseries
The large drop in this index resulted from the global shutdown following the COVID-19 pandemic.
The more interesting question is could we use Japanese candlesticks to predict the reversal that occurred around the end of march shown below.
The TA-Lib package provides functions for the presence of specific patterns. These functions take vectors of open, high, low and close as parameters and return either
The function to find morning start patterns is
CDLMORNINGSTAR(open, high, low, close)
Give it an OHLC time series of and it will return a corresponding time series of -100, 0 or 100.
score = talib.CDLMORNINGSTAR(df['Open'], df['High'], df['Low'], df['Adj Close']) # Returns a lot of ZEROS print(score)
Date 2020-01-02 0 2020-01-03 0 2020-01-06 0 2020-01-07 0 2020-01-08 0 .. 2020-07-27 0 2020-07-28 0 2020-07-29 0 2020-07-30 0 2020-07-31 0 Length: 147, dtype: int32
To filter for dates when the score was not Zero.
# Filter wherre score not equal to Zero print(score[score != 0])
Date 2020-03-24 100 dtype: int32
Returns only the date 24th March 2020 – the date of the market reversal.
Not bad, it seems to have correctly identified the market reversal and identified an opportune time to enter the market.
Out of the entire time range, there was only 1 signal for a Morning Star, it was a bullish reversal pattern, meaning its was a good indicator that the market was reversing.
A cautious investor might seek to reinforce this finding by getting a second opinion from another Candlestick, for example, a Bullish Engulfing pattern shortly after the Morning Star. That would be 2 different bullish candle sticks in quick succession.
To find all engulfing patterns in the date range
score = talib.CDLENGULFING(df['Open'], df['High'], df['Low'], df['Adj Close']) # Filter wherre score not equal to Zero print(score[score != 0])
Date 2020-01-10 -100 2020-01-15 100 2020-01-24 -100 2020-02-10 100 2020-03-20 -100 2020-04-02 100 2020-05-12 -100 2020-06-19 -100 2020-07-09 -100 2020-07-22 100 dtype: int32
And the cautious investor would see that on 2nd April, a second bullish pattern was found giving them more confidence that the market was indeed in a bullish reversal.
Obviously these do not mean that markets are going to move in a particular direction, they are indicators, used with other indicators.
The final part of this blog describes a very simple Flask web application that
Scan for Evening Star finds a bearish pattern in last day of trading in CDW
Scan for Mornign Star finds a bullish HSY
The screen markup, styling etc is contained in the file Templates/Index.html.
The application has 2 endpoints, implemented in the file app.py
Downloads a year’s worth of market data for every ticker in the file sp500.csv.
To see one way to find these tickers see the accompanying Jupyter notebook
The default end point
This is a simple introduction to Japanese Candle sticks and what information they contain. It then showed how these can be combined so that investors to better understand market behaviour and make more informed timing decisions. It showed how to incorporate candle sticks into a python application to judge a market reversal and finally presented a simple flask application to interactively scan a portfolio of securities for specific candle sticks on a single session.